Chris Olave
Olave is New Orleans' clear No. 1 receiver and the designated downfield/zone-beater in a passing offense now built around Tyler Shough, with Jordan Tyson expected to soak up underneath work as his complement. He's coming off a huge target share (26-36.5%) that no one expects him to repeat now that the receiver room is deeper, but his per-game production with Shough at QB last year was notably stronger than with Spencer Rattler.
The two-week arc is about volume dilution: FantasyPros' Bogman flagged Olave as a sell-high off his new contract, worried Jordan Tyson eats into targets, with Fitzmaurice even more bearish at WR18. Fantasy Football Today and the Fantasy Footballers agree his target share is likely dropping from the 30%+ range to roughly 24.5%, but the Footballers still rank him WR11 on the strength of his Shough-era splits, while Happy Hour frames the Tyson addition as complementary rather than competitive. The disagreement isn't about role—everyone still calls him the No. 1—it's about how much the shrinking target share should discount his value.
The line: Hold him as a locked-in No. 1 with real Shough upside, but don't pay for last year's target share—buy the dip, don't chase the name.
▶ Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry: Seen as complementary to Tyson—Olave a strong downfield/zone-beater, Tyson excels underneath, making them a good pairing in New Orleans' passing attack. listen ↗
▲ Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast: Ranked WR11; had far better per-game splits with Tyler Shough at QB than Spencer Rattler last season, but his 30% target share is expected to drop to ~24.5% with Jordan Tyson/Addison added. listen ↗
▶ Fantasy Football Today: Target share was much higher with Tyler Shough (26-36.5%) than expected to be with Jordan Tyson now added; still viewed as the clear No. 1 when on the field but with lowered target expectations. listen ↗
▼ FantasyPros Football Podcast: Bogman calls him a sell-high after his big extension, worried new weapons like Jordan Tyson will cut into his volume; Fitzmaurice is even lower, ranking him WR18. listen ↗
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