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Fantasy Focus Football · Wednesday, September 23

Ranking the Top Players at Each Position for Week 3 | Fantasy Focus

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Daniel Dopp, Field Yates, and Mike Clay preview Week 3 fantasy football, breaking down position-by-position rankings and reacting to the season-ending injury to Jackson Dart. They also run a 'stock up/stock down' exercise on the preseason top-10 ADP players and debate whether early breakouts like Mahomes and Tyler Shough are changing draft-strategy conventional wisdom.

This episode of Fantasy Focus Football is built around Week 3 positional rankings, with Field Yates, Mike Clay, and Daniel Dopp debating the fallout from Jackson Dart's season-ending injury, whether Drake May and Rashee Rice deserve panic, and running a "stock up/down" exercise on the preseason top-10 overall players. The throughline: two-game samples are creating overreactions in both directions, and the hosts spend most of the show separating real signal from small-sample noise.

The arguments

Jackson Dart's injury tanks the Giants' offense outlook, but Jameis Winston is a fine bridge for the pass-catchers. Clay called Dart a "QB1 overall type" who was breathing life into the offense with heavy designed-run usage, and both hosts agreed Malik Nabors and Isaiah Likely take a real but limited hit. Their reasoning: Winston has posted 20.3 fantasy points per game over his last extended stretch (six games with Cleveland in 2024) and has already shown spike weeks with the Giants (32.2 points in one outing), so as long as he keeps peppering Nabors and Likely, both remain fantasy-relevant. Cam Skattebo's outlook was untouched since he was already a non-passing-down back.

Drake May is a buy-back candidate this week despite two ugly performances. Yates argued his gut says May bounces back against Jacksonville, noting the Seahawks and Steelers—both faced by May—have allowed the fewest fantasy points to QBs largely because of how well they contained him, which he framed as context rather than condemnation. Clay had May ranked even higher (seventh) and pointed out Jacksonville's defense has faced only Deshaun Watson and Bo Nix, allowing 9.3 yards per attempt (second-highest in the NFL), suggesting real opportunity through the air. Dopp, who is starting Mahomes over May in a two-QB league, was the skeptic, saying his confidence in Mahomes is currently higher.

Tyler Shough's hot streak is real, not just garbage-time inflation, though his level of competition raises questions. Clay tracked Shough at 17-plus fantasy points in eight straight games (including four this season), backed by unchanged efficiency (7.3-7.4 yards per attempt) plus a new running dimension (9 carries, one touchdown last week). Yates pushed back lightly, noting the counterargument is that Shough has feasted on trailing-game-script situations against bad defenses, but conceded the Saints' remaining schedule is light enough that it may not matter this year.

DeVonta Swift and Rashee Rice are both matchup-based fades, not talent-based ones. The hosts still start Swift as a low-end RB2 because he has 19 touches in both games and is the only Bears back getting goal-line work, but they've lowered expectations against Philadelphia's stingy run defense. Rice is trending the wrong way with just a 12% target share (down from 28% the last two years) despite career-high snap and route participation; the hosts are keeping him in lineups strictly because of Miami's generous matchup (five passing touchdowns allowed) but flagged this as a put-up-or-shut-up week.

Devon Achane is a name-your-price debate, with real disagreement on efficiency versus volume. Clay ranked him RB8, Yates RB15, and Dopp RB20 — a split wide enough that they made two board bets (Achane finishing better/worse than RB14 in Week 3, and whether he scores six-plus touchdowns in 2026). Clay's case rests on volume (second in RB snap rate, seventh in receptions, fourth in target share); Yates's concern is that Miami, likely trailing Kansas City badly, pulls back on Achane's usage in a blowout the way struggling/rebuilding teams sometimes do late in games.

Jackson Smith-Njigba has forced a legitimate stock-up reassessment among the preseason top 10. Both hosts agreed that if redrafting today, JSN would be a strong case for 1.01 given a 44% target share in a run-heavy, backup-quarterback offense with no competing pass-catching threats. This was the only unanimous "moves into the first round" name from their top-10 stock exercise; everyone else (Gibbs, Bijan, Chase, Puka, Taylor, CMC, St. Brown, Cook, Lamb) landed at stock neutral, with Puka trending only slightly down and Lamb trending up relative to a struggling George Pickens.

Chris Olave deserves elevation into the wide receiver elite tier. Yates made the case that Olave is fourth in fantasy points per game among receivers and looks due for explosive plays every week, connecting it directly to Shough's development; Clay agreed he's now a top-seven receiver in their rankings, validating the Saints' aggressive draft-day trade to acquire him.

What it means for your roster

  • Drop or stash Jackson Dart appropriately: he's a lost cause for fantasy this year barring a shocking recovery; if you can't IR him yet, know the hosts expect the Giants to make it official around Saturday at 4pm.
  • Hold Malik Nabors and Isaiah Likely with modest expectation trims: both remain viable starts with Winston at QB, especially Likely, who the hosts view as a locked-in top-10 tight end weekly given Winston's clear preference for him (9 targets on 27 attempts Monday night).
  • Start Chuba Hubbard as a true RB2/flex the rest of the way: with Jonathan Brooks now on IR (core muscle injury, not the prior knee/calf issues), the hosts compared Hubbard's path to prior-year James Conner and see him as the clear lead back for at least six weeks.
  • Don't panic-drop Rashee Rice or Quinshawn Judkins yet, but treat this week as a referendum: both get plus matchups (Miami for Rice, Carolina for Judkins) that the hosts explicitly framed as the last data point before real concern sets in.
  • Consider buying low on Chris Olave and holding Devonta Swift as a cautious low-end RB2: Olave is being upgraded into true WR1 territory; Swift's touch volume (19 in each game) keeps him startable even in a tough Eagles matchup.
  • If bidding on dropped Colston Loveland in shallower/PPR formats, the hosts suggested around 30% of FAAB, factoring in that many managers overreacted and dropped him after one bad game.
“We're due for a 22 carry, 152 yard touchdown game very soon.” — Field Yates

Players in this episode

Jaxon Smith-Njigba · WR, SEA

↑ Commanding a 44% target share in a low-volume, backup-QB offense with no other clear pass-game competition; hosts say they'd now consider him as high as the 1.01-1.02 in redrafts.

Drake Maye · QB, NE

↑ Struggled against two elite defenses (Seattle, Pittsburgh) the first two weeks, but hosts still rank him top-10 and expect a big bounce-back in a more favorable Jacksonville matchup.

CeeDee Lamb · WR, DAL

↑ Stock up as the clear focal point of the Cowboys passing game while co-star George Pickens has been quiet through two weeks.

Malik Nabers · WR, NYG

→ Value dips slightly with Dart out, but should still be fine catching 7-10 targets a game from Winston.

Chris Olave · WR, NO

↑ Fourth in fantasy points per game among WRs; hosts argue he should be discussed in the same elite tier as Chase/Nakua-type receivers.

Rashee Rice · WR, KC

↓ Target share has cratered to 12% (from 28% pre-injury) despite career-high snap/route participation; still start-able this week vs. Miami's leaky pass defense but a big red flag if it continues.

Cam Skattebo · RB, NYG

→ No passing-down role is the concern, but as long as he keeps getting 17 carries he stays viable in the flex conversation.

Emeka Egbuka · WR, TB

↓ Hasn't busted a game but hasn't lived up to WR1 billing either, tied with Bucky Irving and Cade Otton in targets; part of a broader disappointing Bucs offense.

Patrick Mahomes · QB, KC

↑ Off to a great start (21.6 and 28.9 fantasy points) and gets a Dolphins defense that's allowed six TDs to QBs; hosts rank him QB2 despite a more conservative QB5 game projection.

Jaxson Dart · QB, NYG

↓ Reportedly facing season-ending surgery; hosts say to treat him as done for the year and make alternate plans immediately.

Quinshon Judkins · RB, CLE

→ Hasn't topped 10.1 fantasy points in five straight games, but a home matchup vs. Carolina (allowing a league-high yards to RBs) is seen as his best breakout chance; hosts say it's 'panic time' if it doesn't happen now.

D'Andre Swift · RB, CHI

→ Still gets all the Bears' goal-line work and is in a 60/40 snap split with Kyle Monangai; downgraded to low-end RB2/3 status given a tough Eagles matchup.

Chuba Hubbard · RB, CAR

↑ With Jonathan Brooks headed for season-ending-type surgery, Hubbard gets a clear runway for at least six weeks and possibly the whole season; compared to peak James Conner.

Jonathon Brooks · RB, CAR

↓ Placed on IR with a core muscle injury (unrelated to prior knee issues); hosts say he'll need to prove he can handle a part-time role for a full season before becoming a true lead back.

Travis Kelce · TE, KC

↑ Bounced back with 25.1 points in Week 2 after a quiet opener; hosts admit they underrated him in the preseason and now call him an easy auto-start.

Tyler Shough · QB, NO

↑ Has posted 17+ fantasy points in eight straight games dating back to last season and added rushing production last week; hosts have him around QB6.

Isaiah Likely · TE, NYG

↑ Getting heavy volume (9 targets in one game) and top-3 in fantasy points/catches/targets among tight ends; hosts view him as a weekly top-10 TE regardless of QB change.

Jameis Winston · QB, NYG

→ Expected to take over as Giants starter; averaged 20.3 fantasy points over a 6-game stretch in 2024, giving hope for pass catchers if he plays enough.

Case Keenum · QB, CHI

→ Hasn't topped 13 fantasy points in a game since 2019, but hosts say he'd actually be better for Bears pass catchers than Bagent since he's a pocket passer who gets the ball out quickly.

Tyson Bagent · QB, CHI

↓ In concussion protocol, likely giving way to Case Keenum; his absence further lowers Bears offensive expectations.

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Ranking the Top Players at Each Position for Week 3 | Fantasy Focus — Fantasy Focus Football | Play Action