Fantasy Life Show Oct 1, 6:00 AMWeek 4 Fantasy Stock Up/Stock Down: 5 Players on the Rise, Buy Low/Sell High Candidates and More!
Kendall Valenzuela, Dwain McFarland and Peter Overzet break down Week 4 fantasy risers using the Utilization Report, highlighting Cam Skattebo, Jeremiah Love, Josh Downs, Kenyon Sadiq and George Kittle as players whose underlying role changes outpaced their box-score output. They also run through buy-low/sell-high trade targets (Chase Brown, Bhayshul Tuten, Tetairoa McMillan, DJ Moore, Jordan Addison) and flag RB streamers and stash candidates amid a rash of backfield injuries.
▲ Chase Brown▲ Jeremiyah Love▼ Rashee Rice▶ Cam Skattebo+17 moreShow all 21 takesHide the takes
- Underlying utilization metrics (snap share, route participation, target share) are better predictors of future fantasy production than last week's box score, and casual managers often miss this, creating trade arbitrage. — Savvy managers can buy players whose role spiked but points didn't yet reflect it (e.g., Skattebo, Downs, Addison) and sell players whose points were inflated relative to role (e.g., Bhayshul Tuten).
- Efficiency stats (yards per carry, missed tackles forced) do not reliably predict a running back's role growing, especially in crowded committees. — Applied directly to Bhayshul Tuten, this argues against chasing hot efficiency numbers in a 3-4 man backfield and favors selling him while his market value is inflated.
- ▲Chase Brown (RB) — Leads the backfield with a 71% snap share and 78% rush share despite modest box scores; hosts call him a buy-low given the Bengals' low red-zone trip rate likely to regress toward more TD opportunities.
- ▲Jeremiyah Love (RB) — Dominated the backfield with a 63% snap share and 78% of rushing attempts in Week 3, moved to mid-range RB2 with a path to low-end RB1 if the role holds.
- ▼Rashee Rice (WR) — Co-host Peter says he's 'not a Rashee Rice guy' and would still prefer Cam Skattebo over him in trade value.
- ▶Cam Skattebo (RB) — His snaps, rushes, and route work all spiked in Week 3 with Devin Singletary a healthy scratch, pushing him to a mid-range RB2, though hosts debate selling high given Giants QB uncertainty.
- ▲Tetairoa McMillan (WR) — Posting 25% target shares in two of three games despite modest fantasy points; hosts view him as a buy-low given Bryce Young's strong passing yardage and a plus matchup vs. Detroit's leaky secondary.
- ▼Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — Extremely efficient (2nd in yards per carry, missed tackles forced) but stuck in a 4-way committee behind Chris Rodriguez and others; hosts call him a sell-high since efficiency rarely leads to expanded role.
- ▲DJ Moore (WR) — Posting strong target shares (27%, 38%) and elite air yards with Josh Allen; hosts argue he looks like a true WR1 if he reaches an 85% route rate, dismissing earlier 'washed' narratives.
- ▶Michael Wilson (WR) — Considered a more stable but less valuable trade asset than Skattebo; later preferred over McMillan only slightly less.
- ▲George Kittle (TE) — Posted an 86% route share and 28% target share with Brock Purdy playing at an MVP level; moved into the TE3 overall tier behind only Bowers/McBride, and hosts suggest trading for him given injuries to other Niners weapons.
- ▲Jordan Addison (WR) — With Justin Jefferson banged up/not practicing, Addison's role shifted to more in-breaking routes and targets; upgraded to low-end/borderline WR2 for weeks Jefferson sits, with a good matchup vs. Miami.
- ▲Kenyon Sadiq (TE) — Posted 23.5 fantasy points in Week 3 on just a 57% route share; with Adonai Mitchell week-to-week and other weapons injured, he's upgraded to high-end TE2 with top-5 TE ceiling if routes increase.
- ▲Josh Downs (WR) — Now running an 88% route share with a 24% target share and strong in-breaking route usage, moved up to WR18/low-end WR2 and called a 'massive buy low.'
- ▶Alvin Kamara (RB) — Ranked ahead of other risky options at RB26 despite game-script concerns from turnovers; Kendre Miller could siphon early-down work.
- ▲Braelon Allen (RB) — Took 100% of snaps after Breece Hall left Week 3; considered the safest streaming option among several banged-up backfields this week.
- ▶Najee Harris (RB) — Seen as the most likely Skattebo handcuff/replacement given his size and ability to handle short-yardage and pass-pro work if Skattebo were out.
- ▲Jaylen Wright (RB) — Seen as a cheaper waiver target than Ollie Gordon given unresolved Dolphins backfield competition; only 13% rostered.
- ▶Tre' Harris (WR) — Led the Chargers in targets and catches last week despite a poor offense; a deep speculative add at 3% rostered.
- ▶Keenan Allen (WR) — Hosts note he always finds a way to produce regardless of competition but rank him lower (WR36) than Downs for rest-of-season value.
- ▶Christian Kirk (WR) — Floated as a deep stash since he could return next week for the 49ers and benefit from Kyle Shanahan's scheme amid other injuries.
- ▶Ollie Gordon (RB) — Benefited from Devon Achane's injury but questionable status and competition from Jaylen Wright create ambiguity; hosts warn against overpaying in FAAB bidding.