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Dalton Kincaid

TE, BUF

Kincaid is Buffalo's primary receiving weapon at tight end, running roughly 69-70% of routes (up from near 50% last year) and operating as a key piece in Joe Brady's more aggressive, downfield-leaning passing attack under Josh Allen. He's finishing games with elite yards-per-route-run and a high aDOT, numbers that place him among the top scoring tight ends in football, not just a name riding touchdown variance.

The arc is near-unanimous buy-in: Fantasy Footballers, Fantasy Focus, Harris Fantasy Football, and Fantasy Life all moved him into top-five (some top-two or top-three) rest-of-season rankings after his 95-yard, 7-catch Week 2 and the 225-yard two-game start cited by Yahoo and Fantasy Football Today. The lone friction comes from Dynasty Nerds, who flagged DJ Moore out-targeting him and called him overvalued versus Kenyon Sadiq in dynasty, and from a Week 3 fumble/dip that RotoWire and The Audible treated as a buying opportunity rather than a red flag — Theo at RotoWire explicitly says he'd trade any TE but McBride or Bowers to get him. Establish The Run and FantasyPros both frame the breakout as sustainable given Allen's increased downfield aggressiveness, not a hot streak.

The line: Buy the Week 3 dip — nearly every show treats Kincaid as a top-five, locked-in weekly starter tied to a real role change. · updated Oct 01

Thursday, October 1

▲ RotoWire Fantasy Football With Theo Gremminger: Cracks the top 50 as Theo's TE3 despite a disappointing Week 3, ranked ahead of Tyler Warren and George Kittle. listen ↗

Wednesday, September 30

▲ The Audible: Expected bounce-back game after a fumble last week. listen ↗

Tuesday, September 29

▼ Dynasty Nerds Podcast | Dynasty Fantasy Football: Being out-targeted by DJ Moore in Buffalo's offense and also cited as overvalued relative to Kenyon Sadiq on KTC. listen ↗

▲ RotoWire Fantasy Football With Theo Gremminger: Had a poor week 3 with a fumble amid Bills turnovers, but posted elite yards per route run (3.76) in weeks 1-2; buy candidate from managers spooked by one bad game. listen ↗

Monday, September 28

▲ Establish The Run Fantasy Football: Named among tight ends benefiting from a weak WR landscape this season. listen ↗

Friday, September 25
Both shows are bullish, with Kincaid drawing top-tier TE praise despite playing only about two-thirds of Buffalo's routes—Moore/Coleman absences and elite yards-per-route efficiency make him a confident weekly TE1 start.

▲ Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast: Called one of the steals of the draft, continuing to look great. listen ↗

▲ The Audible: Stands to benefit most from Moore/Coleman absences; ranked TE2 this week behind McBride. listen ↗

▲ The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast: Biggest surprise of the season so far; ~70% route share and elite targets-per-route-run in a top offense with heavy 12/13 personnel usage after Ben Van Sumeren was cut, pushing him toward TE2/TE3 value despite being ranked TE8 preseason. listen ↗

▲ The Ringer Fantasy Football Show: Currently the No. 1 scoring tight end and No. 1 in yards per route run despite still running only about two-thirds of Buffalo's routes. listen ↗

Thursday, September 24
Both shows are buying in hard \u2014 Kincaid's downfield usage (top-tier aDOT) under Joe Brady's more aggressive offense is treated as a real, sustainable shift, not a fluke, with Fantasy Life ranking him a top-two TE outright. Treat him as a locked-in weekly starter and a buy if you can get him.

▲ Establish The Run Fantasy Football: Considered a legitimate buy, not just a hot streak, thanks to Josh Allen's increased downfield aggressiveness under new OC Joe Brady. listen ↗

▲ Fantasy Life Show: Upgraded to top-five TE (No. 2 in host's rankings) due to elite aDOT (12.9, highest among TEs) and strong target share despite only 69% route share; tied to Josh Allen's hot offense. listen ↗

▲ Fantasy Life Show: Back-to-back top-5 TE weeks; with Derwin James and Elijah Molden possibly out for the Chargers, hosts view this as a smash spot and consider him in TE1 conversation over Mark Andrews. listen ↗

▲ RotoWire Fantasy Football With Theo Gremminger: Looks like a top-3 scoring tight end; Theo says he'd trade any TE besides McBride and Bowers to acquire him, calling him underpriced relative to Buffalo's offense. listen ↗

▶ The Audible: Similar injury/role questions to Bowers; hosts wouldn't necessarily trade him straight up for Bowers either. listen ↗

Wednesday, September 23

▲ Fantasy Football Today: Sell-high, viewed as easily a top-3 rest-of-season TE, but hosts suggest flipping him if you have tight end depth to acquire a struggling stud elsewhere. listen ↗

▲ FantasyPros Dynasty Football Podcast: Now third in the NFL in receiving yards with a 69% snap share (up from 38% last year) and elite efficiency; hosts admit they were wrong to fade him and now rank him TE6, with a ceiling of TE3 in dynasty. listen ↗

▲ Yahoo Fantasy Football with Josh & Hayden: Producing as the TE1 with 225 yards through two games even with D.J. Moore healthy, thriving in expanded 12-personnel packages. listen ↗

Tuesday, September 22

▲ Fantasy Focus Football: Named a biggest riser, now viewed as the TE3 in fantasy behind McBride and Bowers, unlocked in Buffalo's offense. listen ↗

▶ RotoWire Fantasy Football With Theo Gremminger: Referenced indirectly via Dallas Goedert missing time; not a major standalone mention. listen ↗

▲ The Audible: His return is seen as transforming Buffalo's passing game, opening up explosive plays for teammates like Palmer. listen ↗

Monday, September 21

▲ RotoWire Fantasy Football With Theo Gremminger: Followed a historic 130-yard Week 1 with 7 catches for 95 yards and a TD, forming an elite stack with Josh Allen and drawing Travis Kelce year-4 breakout comparisons. listen ↗

Saturday, September 19

▲ Fantasy Football Today: Cited a stat showing 225 receiving yards through two games (2nd-most among TEs since 2000) and strong yards-per-route-run, making him a buy in a trade for Colston Loveland. listen ↗

▲ The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast: His route share jumped to 69% (from ~50% last year) with a 25% target share, and hosts now view him as a top-five rest-of-season tight end even as they expect his per-route efficiency to normalize. listen ↗

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