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RotoWire Fantasy Football With Theo Gremminger · Tuesday, September 29

Fantasy Football Trades: 12 Players to BUY & SELL NOW! | Week 4 Trade Strategy

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Theo Gremminger runs down his week 4 fantasy football trade targets, breaking down buy-low, buy-high, and sell candidates based on week 3 performances and underlying usage metrics. He argues several players are being mispriced by casual leagues due to recency bias from one good or bad game, and he emphasizes exploiting market inefficiencies through trades.

This episode is Theo Gremminger's week four trade guide, built around a simple thesis: several players who looked disappointing in Week 3 are actually undervalued buy-lows, while several name-brand players with residual draft-capital hype need to be sold before their true underlying weaknesses catch up to their market price.

The arguments

Zay Flowers is a top-five wide receiver the rest of the way and worth pivoting to even from a stud like Devonta Adams. Gremminger points to Flowers' 9.36 yards per route run (versus Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 4.35), his 20-point-per-game scoring pace despite missing time, and the fact he's 10th in receiving yards while ranking 115th in routes run. He argues Flowers should have been drafted as a mid-second-rounder and that casual leagues undervalued his limited-snap Week 3 line (five catches, 84 yards) as a letdown rather than proof of efficiency.

Cam Skattebo and Jalen Warren are buy-high running backs whose volume is trending in the right direction. For Skattebo, Theo cites an 80% snap share, 22% target share, and 24% targets-per-route-run, plus a soft three-game Giants schedule (Arizona, at Washington, Saints) and Devin Singletary's inactivity pushing Najee Harris into early-down work, which he frames as protective of Skattebo's workload. For Warren, he leans on the 127 rushing yards, 49 receiving yards, and 90%-plus snap share with Kenneth Gainwell/Rico Dowdle-style trust building with Aaron Rodgers, arguing Warren is separating from a timeshare narrative and projects as a top-15 back.

Brock Purdy should never be sold, only held or acquired. Gremminger pushes back on chatter framing Purdy as a sell-high given Mike Evans' injury (a mixed-up reference, but the point stands for San Francisco), citing Purdy's QB2 overall standing, 93 rushing yards, a called-back rushing score, and a healthy supporting cast (Kittle, McCaffrey, Kalen Blake) as reasons he's a top-three quarterback finisher in waiting.

Tetairoa McMillan and Dalton Kincaid are struggling buy-lows set up for rebounds. McMillan's target volume (8, then 10) has stayed strong despite a poor Week 3, and Theo flags Detroit's leaky secondary (referencing Garrett Wilson's big game against them) plus Jalen Coker's quad injury as reasons for a smash spot. Kincaid's ugly, turnover-filled Week 3 masks a 20.7% target share and 3.76 yards per route run (ahead of Trey McBride and George Kittle), and Theo wants owners spooked by one bad game to sell cheap.

Harold Fannin Jr. and Jacoby Myers are cheap tight end/receiver buy-highs being mispriced due to lingering preseason skepticism. Fannin's back-to-back two-touchdown, ascending usage in Cleveland puts him in a tier with Sam LaPorta just behind Kincaid/Kittle, according to Theo, while Myers' seven-catch, 64-yard, one-touchdown week and the Jaguars' 2-1 start make him a fringe-drafted asset he thinks is being treated as a throw-in.

David Montgomery, Omarion Hampton, and Ladd McConkie are sells before the market corrects. Montgomery's touchdown-dependent Week 1 is propping up otherwise poor efficiency, and Woody Marks' growing role plus Nico Collins' eventual return worry Theo. Hampton is sub-4-yards-per-carry in two of three games with only two catches all season, and Keaton Mitchell's more explosive Buffalo showing threatens a 50-50 split. McConkie is being out-targeted by Quentin Johnston and Trey Harris despite a strong Week 1, mirroring his disappointing finish to last season, and Theo calls the Chargers offense's vibes "awful."

What it means for your roster

  • Buy Zay Flowers aggressively, even offering a piece like Devonta Adams — Theo frames this as a near mandatory pivot given Flowers' efficiency profile.
  • Target Skattebo and Warren as buy-high running backs now, before their soft upcoming schedules (Giants' next three, Steelers vs. Browns/Colts) push their price further up.
  • Do not trade away Brock Purdy under any circumstance; if anything, make him your buy target at quarterback.
  • Buy McMillan and Kincaid off one bad week — Theo specifically flags McMillan ahead of a Lions matchup and wants Kincaid owners who panicked after the turnover-heavy Bills game to sell cheap.
  • Trade for Fannin and Myers as cost-controlled value plays, ideal as the "third piece" in two-for-one or three-for-one packages given how their perceived value trails their actual usage.
  • Sell David Montgomery, Omarion Hampton, and Ladd McConkie now, before touchdown-dependent or timeshare concerns catch up with the broader market — Theo explicitly calls Montgomery and the Chargers duo "get out of Dodge" situations.
  • Consider structuring trades as two-for-ones the other way if you're dealing with season-derailing injuries (e.g., a lost Ashton Jeanty/RB1) — Theo suggests using misvalued names like Myers or Skattebo as under-the-radar pieces to flip one asset into two useful starters.
“Things are really bad for Omari and Hampton.” — Theo Gremminger

Players in this episode

Omarion Hampton · RB, LAC

↓ Inefficient (sub-4 yards per carry in two of three games), touchdown-dependent, and facing a growing timeshare with Keaton Mitchell; sell-low candidate.

Chase Brown · RB, CIN

↑ Disappointing weeks 2-3 production despite volume; buy-low candidate expected to return to his career average of ~16 points per game.

Ladd McConkey · WR, LAC

↓ Being out-targeted by Quentin Johnston and Trey Harris this season despite name value; sell/trade-away candidate given the Chargers' struggling passing offense.

Cam Skattebo · RB, NYG

↑ 80% snap share and 22% target share in week 3 with 100 total yards; buy target with top-15 RB and RB1 upside given a favorable upcoming schedule.

Tetairoa McMillan · WR, CAR

↑ Struggled in week 3 but still saw 8-10 targets in prior weeks; buy-low target given a great matchup against Detroit's leaky secondary.

Zay Flowers · WR, BAL

↑ Elite yards per route run (9.36) and strong target share despite a game people view as a letdown; considered a top-5 WR rest of season and a buy target.

David Montgomery · RB, HOU

↓ Inefficient and touchdown-dependent without Nico Collins; sell candidate before the market catches up to his poor underlying production.

Davante Adams · WR, LAR

↓ Suggested as a piece to pivot away from in order to acquire Zay Flowers, despite Adams' own strong recent production.

Jaylen Warren · RB, PIT

↑ Played 90%+ snaps with Jaylen Warren posting 127 rushing and 49 receiving yards plus an 87-yard run called back; buy-high candidate with top-15 RB range of outcomes.

Brock Purdy · QB, SF

↑ Currently QB2 overall with strong rushing production; should be held or traded for, not sold despite Mike Evans' injury narrative.

Harold Fannin · TE, CLE

↑ Broke out with two touchdown catches in week 3 and a solid week 2; considered a buy-high target as a rising TE just behind the elite tier.

Brian Thomas · WR, JAX

↓ Production has been disappointing this season ('looking like a nothing right now'), making him harder to value and less central than expected.

Jakobi Meyers · WR, JAX

↑ Posted 7 catches for 64 yards and a TD in week 3; cheap buy target in an ascending Jacksonville offense, especially with Cincinnati keying on Parker Washington.

Dalton Kincaid · TE, BUF

↑ Had a poor week 3 with a fumble amid Bills turnovers, but posted elite yards per route run (3.76) in weeks 1-2; buy candidate from managers spooked by one bad game.

Quentin Johnston · WR, LAC

→ Averaging only 4 points per game but leading the Chargers in targets (17) over McConkig, highlighting how muddled the passing offense is.

Jalen Coker · WR, CAR

→ Dealing with a minor quadriceps strain that could open more volume for McMillan against Detroit.

Keaton Mitchell · RB, LAC

→ Looked more explosive than Hampton against Buffalo (8 carries, 52 yards, 3 catches), threatening to create a 50-50 backfield split.

Tre' Harris · WR, LAC

↑ Posted 6 catches for 76 yards on 7 targets in week 3 and is trending upward within the crowded Chargers receiving corps.

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