NFL Week 2 Player Props: 10 Best Bets & Touchdown Picks (Ep. 2203)

This is FantasyPros' weekly Betting Pros prop show, where Chris Welsh and Andrew Erickson run through their ten favorite Week 2 player props plus touchdown scorer bets, mixing in a running bit where Erickson is rolling over his Week 1 Jameer Gibbs anytime-touchdown winnings into Week 2 (and beyond) as a stand-in for a "if you'd bet McCaffrey every week" thought experiment. The through-line for both hosts is chasing bad defenses and shifted target shares from Week 1 rather than betting names alone.

The arguments

Jameer Gibbs is being treated as a McCaffrey-level touchdown scorer, and Erickson is betting accordingly. He is rolling his Week 1 Gibbs anytime-TD winnings into Week 2 and plans to keep doing it weekly, arguing that if Gibbs is going to have a true workhorse season he should score nearly every week and the market isn't pricing that in every single Sunday. Welsh pushed back only on when Erickson would be tempted to cash out, guessing somewhere around week eight to ten of the streak, with both agreeing a run into the fantasy playoffs would make for great theater.

Bad run defenses got exposed in Week 1, and both hosts are betting the same signal in opposite directions. Erickson is fading Quinshon Judkins under 49.5 rushing yards against Tampa Bay, citing Todd Bowles' defense allowing the league's lowest opposing rush success rate since 2019 and Cleveland's offensive line getting no push against Jacksonville. He flips that logic for Bijan Robinson, taking over 126.5 rushing-plus-receiving yards against a Carolina defense that just got gashed for nearly 300 rushing yards by Chicago, noting Bijan touched the ball on 65% of his snaps in Week 1.

New England's receiving pecking order has already shifted away from Romeo Dobbs. Erickson is backing Mack Hollins over 35.5 receiving yards, pointing out Hollins drew four targets after A.J. Brown left Week 1's game — more than any other Patriots receiver — and has cleared this number in seven of his last ten games with a full-time role, plus reports that Joey Porter Jr. is trending out of the Steelers matchup.

Carson Wentz's Vikings passing volume is being undervalued. Welsh is taking Justin Jefferson over 6.5 receptions at plus money, arguing Wentz is a solid distributor who fed Jefferson a 53% first-read share and 37.5% target share in Week 1, and that Minnesota is live in this Bears matchup rather than punting on offense with Wentz at quarterback.

Miami's defense is bad enough to trust Brock Purdy underneath and Mike Evans on volume. Erickson has Purdy over 19.5 completions (a five-star play on the Betting Pros cheat sheet) based on his low average depth of target and the Dolphins letting Kirk Cousins complete 21 passes last week, and separately likes Evans on an alt line of 5-plus receptions at plus-158 given Evans' early, high-target usage in the 49ers' offense.

Baltimore's receiver room is thin enough to make Rashad Bateman the clear WR1 target. With Zay Flowers dealing with a hamstring injury and Jacoby Lane out with a fractured wrist, Erickson is taking Bateman over 2.5 receptions purely on volume and separation ability, acknowledging Bateman's box score last year doesn't support it but leaning on his 96% route share and a reported quote from offensive coordinator Declan Doyle about needing to get him more touches.

Touchdown market plays lean on bounce-back and buyback logic. Erickson likes Terry McLaurin at 2-1 to score after an empty Week 1 while every other Commanders receiver found the end zone, and separately backs Colston Loveland at plus-190 as a buyback candidate after Caleb Williams missed him on a red-zone target last week; Welsh countered with Mike Evans at plus-130 given his red-zone target volume and a deeper play on Matthew Golden at plus-220 off a 30% first-read share and multiple red-zone looks in Week 1.

What it means for your roster

• Jameer Gibbs: The hosts' framing supports treating him as a weekly touchdown-equity workhorse in redraft and DFS builds, not just a garden-variety RB2.
• Bijan Robinson: Confirmed as a start-with-confidence RB1 against Carolina; his receiving role (not just carries) is the safety net if the game script goes pass-heavy.
• Quinshon Judkins: Treat as a fade or bench-adjacent play in a tough spot; expect low-value volume against Tampa Bay's elite run defense, with Shedeur Sanders usage also a wildcard worth monitoring.
• Mack Hollins: Worth a speculative waiver add over Romeo Dobbs in deeper/PPR formats given the target-share shift the hosts flagged after A.J. Brown's injury.
• Justin Jefferson: Full-confidence start even with Carson Wentz at QB; the hosts' first-read-share data argues against discounting his floor in a plus-matchup shootout spot.
• Colston Loveland and Matthew Golden: Both flagged as buy-low/streaming touchdown-upside pieces off red-zone target usage that outpaced their box scores in Week 1 — worth a speculative FLEX look in TD-driven formats.