Chris Godwin
Godwin is Tampa Bay's slot-centric target hog in Baker Mayfield's passing game, coming off a serious ankle/leg injury that limited him late last year but reportedly has him back to full health entering camp. When Mike Evans is out, Godwin has historically commanded a huge target share, and he's already flashing that role in camp drills.
The last two weeks show a unified buy signal building from a low starting point. Fantasy Football Today opened cautious on August 7th, flagging the injury and sluggish tape but still liking the WR42 price given his 2024 WR3-per-game pace. By August 10th, both Fantasy Football Today and Matthew Berry's Happy Hour had shifted fully positive after camp reports of Godwin dominating early target competition, with Berry specifically pounding the table on his ADP lagging his real role.
The line: Draft Godwin as a value slot receiver near WR41 ADP; his target-share ceiling with Evans out justifies the injury risk.
▲ Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry: Ranked well above ADP (75 overall vs WR41/98 overall ADP) given historical 23% target share when Evans is out and Tampa Bay's slot-heavy passing scheme under Baker Mayfield. listen ↗
▲ Fantasy Football Today: Good camp reports (received 4 of first 7 targets in a practice drill) have hosts fully back in on him despite risk. listen ↗
▶ FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast: Played over 70% of snaps and had 14 targets in a stretch where Egbuka also produced two 100-yard games, countering the narrative that Godwin's presence limits Egbuka. listen ↗
▲ Fantasy Football Today: Coming off a serious ankle/leg injury and looked slow on tape, but reported to be 100% in camp; worth the risk at WR42 given his 2024 WR3-per-game finish. listen ↗
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