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FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast · Tuesday, September 29

Make These Fantasy Football Trades NOW Before Week 4 (Ep. 2226)

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Ryan Wormeli and Tera Roberts run through five trade targets to consider ahead of Week 4, splitting the episode into buys (Parker Washington, Malik Nabers, Josh Downs) and sells (Aaron Jones, Jalen Warren). Their central argument is that buy-high windows on ascending pass-catchers are closing fast while injury-driven running back workloads (Jones, Warren) are unsustainable and should be sold into now given a running back-starved market.

# PLAY ACTION Deep Dive: Make These Fantasy Football Trades NOW Before Week 4

This is a short-form buy/sell episode where Ryan Heath and Tara Roberts each identify players to target or move ahead of Week 4, working through four buys and two sells. The central argument: with running back depth cratering league-wide due to injuries and a favorable back half of the schedule approaching for several ambiguous offenses, now is the window to buy undervalued pass-catchers using running back surplus as currency, while selling running backs whose current workload is an injury-driven mirage.

The arguments

Parker Washington is a buy-high, not a buy-low, before Jacksonville's schedule opens up. Tara argues the Jaguars have been buried in tough matchups (Cleveland, Denver, New England) and Trevor Lawrence hasn't topped 29 pass attempts, yet Washington has still scored double-digit fantasy points every week. Ryan pushes back on his own instinct to call this a "buy super high," noting Washington is only WR12 in consensus rest-of-season rankings, which undersells him given the hamstring/groin uncertainty around Nico Collins, Zay Flowers, and Puka Nakua — both agree paying fair market value now beats waiting for wider recognition.

Malik Nabers is a legitimate buy-low even with the Giants' quarterback chaos. Tara contends Jameis Winston's poor recent performances have excuses (a peak-form Rams defense, weather against Tennessee) and that the Giants won't rush J.J. McCarthy into a new offense with no rapport built, especially with a friendly upcoming slate (Arizona, Washington, New Orleans). She and Ryan agree the price should stay low because of the QB uncertainty, and Tara suggests using running back surplus (a Jalen Warren, Chuba Hubbard, or David Montgomery) as the currency to acquire him given the current RB scarcity.

Josh Downs is a value buy because of team-wide pessimism around the Colts and Daniel Jones. Tara notes Downs has posted 9 and 11 targets over the past two weeks (just over 70 yards each) and is the clear WR1 with Alec Pierce's recurring injury issue unresolved. She ranks him WR30 versus a consensus of WR32, arguing the schedule will open up ceiling opportunities that haven't shown up yet in the box score.

Aaron Jones is a sell-high because his workload is unsustainable for a 31-year-old back. Tara points to back-to-back weeks above 80% snap share for a player who never exceeded 71% in any game last season across 150 touches. Jordan Mason's eventual return near the bye week caps the sell window, and both hosts debate timing — Ryan floats waiting one more week to sell after a likely big game against Miami, or explicitly marketing that matchup as a sweetener to close a deal now.

Jalen Warren is a sell-high tied to Rico Dowdle's uncertain return timeline. Tara acknowledges the rebuttal (Dowdle's injury could be worse than Mason's, making Warren an unquestioned RB1), but argues the sell logic holds because RB depth is scarce league-wide and Warren likely wasn't drafted as anyone's true RB2. She'd still avoid trading Warren straight for Jaydon Blue or Jaydarian Price talent upside, calling that swap too risky, but would accept a Warren-for-Treveyon Henderson swap given Henderson's higher talent ceiling and softening schedule.

What it means for your roster

  • Target Parker Washington now via trade — pay fair market value (not a lowball, not a farm-sale) before Jacksonville's schedule eases against Cincinnati, Philadelphia, and Houston.
  • Buy Malik Nabers cheap, using running back surplus (think Jalen Warren, Chuba Hubbard, or David Montgomery-caliber pieces) as trade bait; don't be scared off by the McCarthy trade — it likely depresses Nabers' price further in your favor.
  • Acquire Josh Downs at a discount — he's a WR1 in a bad-perception offense putting up 70+ yard, double-digit-target floor games with untapped ceiling as the schedule loosens.
  • Sell Aaron Jones this week or explicitly next week — either move him now for value, or use the likely big Miami performance as a selling point to extract more from a buyer.
  • Shop Jalen Warren while his stock is high, especially if you have RB depth and a hole elsewhere; consider a Warren-for-Treveyon Henderson swap but avoid selling low-cost Warren for Jaydarian Price given Price's lack of established team trust.
  • Do not roster-hoard aging or injury-created workhorses — both sell cases hinge on treating current elevated touch counts as a rental, not a floor, given depth returning behind Jones (Mason) and Warren (Dowdle).
“We're doing the happy buys this time.” — Tera Roberts

Players in this episode

Malik Nabers · WR, NYG

↑ Clear buy-low target; hosts believe Jameis Winston's poor play has excuses (tough matchups) and that J.J. McCarthy likely won't start immediately, so Nabers remains the offense's unquestioned WR1 regardless of QB. Recommend trading from RB depth (e.g., Chuba Hubbard, David Montgomery) to acquire him.

TreVeyon Henderson · RB, NE

↑ Host says she would trade Jalen Warren for TreVeyon Henderson given his talent and an easier upcoming schedule, viewing him as a better long-term opportunity.

Jadarian Price · RB, SEA

→ Discussed as a talented but risky trade target; host says she wouldn't trade Warren for Price due to Price's lack of a secure role/trust within his team.

Jaylen Warren · RB, PIT

↓ Sell-high candidate due to a workload spike stemming from Rico Dowdle's injury; hosts believe once Dowdle returns, Warren's role could shrink, making now the time to capitalize on his value while RB-needy teams are buying.

Rico Dowdle · RB, PIT

→ Injury status uncertain/ambiguous, and his eventual return is the key risk factor cited for selling high on Jalen Warren now.

Parker Washington · WR, JAX

↑ Hosts recommend buying now before Jacksonville's schedule opens up and Trevor Lawrence's pass volume increases; his fantasy output (10+ points in all 3 games) is solid but not yet seen as a slate-breaker by casual leagues, making this a genuine buy-high opportunity at a reasonable price.

Aaron Jones · RB, MIN

↓ Recommended sell-high; at 31 years old and playing 80%+ snaps recently (far beyond his typical usage), hosts doubt he can sustain this workload, especially with Jordan Mason on IR and expected back soon.

Jordan Mason · RB, MIN

→ Currently on IR but expected back near the bye week; his return threatens to cut into Aaron Jones' workload, reinforcing the sell-high call on Jones.

Josh Downs · WR, IND

↑ Buy target due to heavy target share (9 and 11 targets in past two games) despite modest yardage; considered locked in as WR1 given Alec Pierce's recurring injury issues, with upside for more explosive games as the schedule eases.

Daniel Jones · QB, IND

→ Described as mediocre so far, but his check-downs are producing volume for Josh Downs, which is viewed as a value discount opportunity for Downs.

J.J. McCarthy · QB, MIN

→ Hosts debate his timeline; think Giants won't rush him in given lack of reps and rapport, projecting a possible start against Washington in Week 5 if Jameis struggles, with the Giants likely giving him extended run afterward.

Jameis Winston · QB, NYG

→ Coming off two subpar games with excusable circumstances (tough Rams defense, weather); hosts think he could get hot against Arizona and buy time before any QB change.

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