Hayden's Favorite Pick in Every Round of 2026 Fantasy Drafts
Hayden builds out his 'best case' 2026 fantasy mock draft, revealing his single favorite pick in each of the first 16 rounds while Josh pushes back and fact-checks the value. The through-line is finding market inefficiencies — elite WR1 upside at pick 4 (Puka Nacua), a Chiefs backfield reset with Kenneth Walker III, a full-value Jaguars WR pivot toward Parker Washington over Brian Thomas Jr., and a wave of cheap, scheme-fit RB/WR lottery tickets in the double-digit rounds.
This episode is Hayden's round-by-round "best-case" mock draft for 2026 redraft leagues, with Josh pushing back on or reinforcing each pick. The throughline is that value has shifted hard toward wide receiver depth and away from paying up at running back and quarterback, with Hayden repeatedly betting on offensive-line quality, target-share math, and training-camp buzz over name recognition.
The arguments
Puka Nacua at the four-spot is worth skipping the elite running back tier for. Hayden argues Nacua is the clear target-dominator in a Rams offense projected for the most points in football, and that his lone missing ingredient — red-zone touchdowns — is now available with Davontae Adams aging and nearly traded. Both hosts agree the bigger payoff of taking Nacua early is that it lets a preferred running back (Kenneth Walker) fall to round two instead of reaching for one at 24-25 overall.
Kenneth Walker in the middle of round two is a top-10-overall player in disguise. Hayden's case rests on Walker's usage rate (17.5 fantasy points per game on 60%+ snaps over his last 26 games), the addition of a genuinely talented offensive line (Creed Humphrey, Trey Smith), and Andy Reid's history of feeding running backs in the screen game (Jamaal Charles, Shady McCoy comps). Josh adds that Kansas City's run offense was efficient by success rate but 32nd in yards after contact, which is exactly the trait Walker brings.
Malik Nabers in round three is a full round of free value. Hayden points to Nabers' wide receiver 6 usage from Week 4 of his rookie year onward despite catching passes from a historically bad Giants offense and shaky quarterback play, and argues Jaxson Dart is an upgrade over that stretch's competition. Josh is more cautious, noting 43% of Dart's fantasy points last year came on the ground and won't repeat, but agrees the neighbors price (last pick of round three) is a bargain.
Travis Etienne in round four beats the round-four wide receiver glut. Hayden's argument is offensive-line and pace-driven: New Orleans' line is the best of his career, Kellen Moore's offenses lead the league in neutral pace, and Alvin Kamara is fading enough that Etienne can approach fringe-RB1 numbers even in a committee. Josh flags the Saints' line cohesion problems from 2025 as the counterpoint, though he agrees the offseason additions (David Edwards) address most of the roster's weak spots.
Kyle Pitts in round six is a bet on 13-personnel offenses reviving concentrated tight end usage. Hayden's reasoning leans on Atlanta having zero depth beyond Pitts, Drake London, and Bijan Robinson, plus Pitts' own comments about preferring heavier personnel, and a lowered average depth of target suggesting he can finally win on shorter, higher-floor routes. Josh's hesitation is about attaching any receiver to a declining Tua Tagovailoa, though he concedes the "second read in the pass game" archetype (comping to Trey McBride, Harold Fannin) is legitimate.
Parker Washington in round eight is one of the most egregious ADPs on the board. Both hosts agree he was Jacksonville's actual target and yards-per-route-run leader over Brian Thomas Jr. and Jakobi Meyers from Week 7 on, and Hayden goes as far as naming him the Jaguars' true WR1 for 2026, contradicting an earlier stance favoring Thomas. The reasoning centers on Washington's every-down role (slot and outside) and reporting that he's more likely than Thomas to get a contract extension.
Matthew Golden should be drafted ahead of Xavier Worthy, and both moved up thanks to this show. Hayden cites Green Bay releasing Romeo Doubs and trading Dontayvion Wicks as organizational confidence in Golden, plus strong camp reports and a preseason touchdown, while conceding Golden's rookie tape had chemistry issues that a second offseason should fix. Josh agrees fully, noting he'd already take Golden two to three rounds earlier than his current ADP and worries one more good preseason clip could erase the value.
What it means for your roster
- Round 1: Consider Nacua over Jahmyr Gibbs if you want a running back to fall to you in round two rather than reaching in the 24-25 range.
- Round 2: Target Kenneth Walker as a top-13 (both hosts) or even top-10 (Hayden) player; he's climbed to roughly pick 16-17 on Yahoo but is still undervalued given his usage trajectory.
- Round 3: Draft Malik Nabers as a WR2/WR3-priced WR1; he's going as the last pick of round three, effectively a full round of discount.
- Round 8: Prioritize Parker Washington over Brian Thomas Jr. in Jacksonville's passing game — both hosts have him ranked far above his 87th-overall Yahoo ADP (Josh: WR54-66 range).
- Rounds 11-12: Use the "double-dip" quarterback strategy — wait on QB and pair two of Bo Nix/Jordan Love/Jared Goff/Malik Willis rather than reaching for a top-eight name early.
- Round 12: Take Matthew Golden ahead of Xavier Worthy; grab him now before a strong preseason snap inflates his price by multiple rounds.
- Late rounds (14-16): Stash Chris Rodriguez and Travis Hunter as touchdown-dependent/role-expansion lottery tickets, and take Keaton Mitchell in the final round as a cheap, efficient handcuff/flex piece behind Omarion Hampton.
“Can you just fart into the end zone 10 times?” — Hayden
Players in this episode
↑ Hayden's favorite first-round pick at 4th overall; projects him for a historic ~400-fantasy-point season with more red-zone touchdown opportunity as Stafford's clear target dominator.
↑ Favorite second-round pick; expected to be a workhorse in KC's efficient run scheme with added receiving work, comping to Jamaal Charles/LeSean McCoy under Andy Reid.
↑ Third-round value pick coming off ACL surgery, expected to play Week 1 and produce like a near wide receiver-one given thin target competition.
↑ Ninth-round favorite QB; back-to-back top-10 finishes, expected to jump into QB8 range with Jalen Waddle added and a friendly, pass-heavy Sean Payton/Davis Webb offense.
↑ Fourth-round favorite; benefits from Kellen Moore's fast-paced scheme and an upgraded Saints offensive line, projected as a fringe RB1.
↑ Reportedly looking the same post-ankle injury in camp, seen as a big beneficiary of Bo Nix's offense with high yards-per-route-run off play action.
↑ Fifth-round pick; splits touches with Kyle Monangai but offers more upside/creativity and would be a top-10 RB if Monangai got hurt.
↑ 11th-round favorite; was QB2 in EPA/dropback last year and could reach top-12 QB range if the Packers increase offensive pace and pass volume.
→ Seventh-round pick expected to be the passing-down back over Rico Dowdle, potentially catching 60 passes, though Josh is skeptical given his poor goal-to-go conversion rate.
↑ Eighth-round pick now viewed as Jacksonville's top WR target leader, expected to be an every-down slot/Z player and a priority extension candidate over Brian Thomas Jr.
↓ Hosts have pivoted away from him as Jacksonville's top receiver, suggesting the team may eventually let him walk in favor of paying Washington.
↑ Sixth-round favorite; entering prime age with improved health/agility and positioned as Atlanta's clear No. 2 pass catcher in a concentrated, injury-thinned offense.
↓ Traded away from the Colts for minimal draft compensation, opening target share for Josh Downs and Tyler Warren.
↑ 10th-round pick expected to see expanded outside-WR usage with Michael Pittman traded away and Alec Pierce possibly starting on PUP.
↓ Viewed as 'out of gas,' with early-down usage already ceded to LeQuint Allen last year, reducing his role behind Etienne.
→ 12th-round speculative pick with upside if Rasheed Rice's efficiency slips or coverage shells shift due to Kenneth Walker's rushing success, but low target share (2.7 catches/game) when Rice plays.
↑ Preferred over Xavier Worthy at the same 12th-round price; strong training camp buzz, expected to play nearly every snap after Green Bay moved on from Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks.
→ 14th-round goal-line specialist pick behind Bhayshul Tuten and LeQuint Allen, seen as a cheap touchdown-dependent flier in Liam Coen's efficiency-focused run scheme.
↑ 15th-round pick with major offensive-snap upside (up to 50%) if his two-way workload increases or an injury opens a bigger receiver role.
↑ 16th-round pick projected for 8-10 touches per game in a run-friendly Mike McDaniel-style scheme, citing his elite career yards-per-carry and rush-yards-over-expected marks.